2009 Cow Year Trend Forecast
資本市場環球綜合指數,2009年上半年定位為“陰”,不看好(反彈後遇阻力點即套利、調整)。下半年定位為“陽”,走勢轉強。 2009年應有這樣的走勢。
Financial/Index Market first half year forecast as Yin trend, not good. Next half year forecast as Yang, strong rebound uptrend should arise. Year 2009 index market should perform in such trend.
走勢在2008月聖誕後至2009年頭有明顯的強勢反彈跡象。過了農曆新年就得開始留意轉折。上半年為陰,特別是2月份、5月份會出現明顯的低點。走勢逐漸在6月中趨穩,從上半年的陰轉為下半年的陽,7月該有個高點。
Trend forecast as rebound up after Christmas 2008. After Chinese New Year 2009 then should be aware for market turning down reversal again. First half year YIN pattern, we should monitor closely lower bottom formation in the month of Feb and May. Significant trend change should slowly fall in in June, from first half year YIN turn to next half Year Yang, and July should have High price movement.
反彈目標價位為1100-1200之間。馬股的關鍵扶持為780,破後走勢則不利。港恆生指數9800-11000為關鍵扶持,預估不會跌破這道水平,反彈目標朝18000-21000,過23000頭較難。道瓊斯指數扶持6700-7200之間,不能跌破,跌破後走勢不妙,反彈目標為11000-12000。所說的目標價位如果發生在下半年的7月份、10月份必須謹慎轉折。
Bursa Malaysia index critical support price level at 780, must not break through otherwise another round of downtrend crisis would arise. Rebound target for Bursa Malaysia would be 1100-1200.
Hangseng index strong support at 9800-11000, rebound target 18000-21000, and not easy to cross over 23000.
Dow Jones Index strong support 6700-7200, strong rebound target price at 11000-12000. If all these index rebounds reach to its target price and happen in July or October, then we should monitor closely for significant retracement.



Posted by David Yap.
Filed under Market Commentary
Posted on Tue, 05 April 2011 at 12:09 am
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